Signal Score

What This Shows

The signal score tracks p_bull probability (0-1) over time. It answers: "How bullish is the overall signal for this instrument?" The composite is regime-adjusted by a Layer-B macro multiplier (0.5–1.5×) before the probability mapping.

Visual Encoding

• X-Axis: Time (4h, 8h, or 1d intervals)
• Y-Axis: p_bull (0 = bearish, 1 = bullish)
• Line: Signal score trend
• Shading: Gradient below the line

Interpretation

• Bullish: 0.65-1.0 — favors upward movement
• Neutral: 0.35-0.65 — no clear bias
• Bearish: 0.0-0.35 — favors downward
• Composite of 6 components (see Breakdown tab)
• Data refreshes periodically — not real-time

Trading Signals

• Sustained score above 0.65 = bullish conditions confirmed
• Score crossing below 0.5 = bias flip — reassess longs
• Score diverging from price = potential regime change, tighten risk

Price Overlay

• Close Price: Daily closing price (right Y-axis)
• Score > 0.65 + rising price = bullish signal confirmed
• Score < 0.35 + falling price = bearish signal confirmed