Component Breakdown

6-component signal decomposition.

What This Shows

All 6 signal components plotted over time. Each component contributes to the overall p_bull composite score. Components are the raw micro scores; the stored composite additionally carries a macro regime multiplier.

The 6 Components

  • Structure: Order book imbalance, bid-ask dynamics
  • Momentum: RSI, MACD-derived signals
  • Volatility: Realized vs implied, term structure
  • Volume: Buying vs selling pressure
  • Positioning: Funding rates, open interest
  • Micro: High-frequency trade flow, tick data

Interpretation

  • Components moving together = strong signal
  • Diverging = mixed/transitional market
  • Momentum & Volume are most responsive
  • Structure & Positioning are slower-moving

Trading Signals

  • All 6 components rising with price = consensus bullish
  • Components diverging while price trends = fragile move, tighten risk
  • Momentum + Volume turning first = earliest warning of a trend change

Price Overlay

  • Close Price: Daily closing price (right Y-axis)
  • Identify which component leads price reversals

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